张又侠未提交全国人大罢免｜赵乐际力保？咸鱼翻身？

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成为此频道的会员即可获享以下福利： https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCQIf3cYIgBVCL3sqDl5j50g/join 张又侠未提交全国人大罢免｜赵乐际力保？咸鱼翻身？ Zhang Youxia Not Submitted for Removal by the National People’s Congress | Is Zhao Leji Protecting Him? A Possible Comeback? 十四届全国人大4次会议昨天在北京闭幕。会议期间并未将已经被正式宣布正在接受调查的中央军委副主席张又侠和军委委员、总参谋长刘振力表决罢免其全国人大代表资格和党和国家领导人职务，也没有重新任命新的继任人选。目前调查正在进行中，根据《宪法》第74条规定：全国人民代表大会代表，非经全国人民代表大会会议主席团许可，在全国人民代表大会闭会期间，非经全国人民代表大会常务委员会许可，不受逮捕或者刑事审判。这条规定的核心含义是：在人大开会期间必须主席团批准。在人大闭会期间，必须全国人大常委会批准。否则不能对人大代表实施：逮捕和刑事审判。这意味着，张又侠刘振力目前仍未被逮捕，还没有吃上牢饭。他们目前处于软禁状态。很多朋友表示，这有些出人意料。更有乐观的朋友认为，这是赵乐际掌控的全国人大在力保张又侠。张又侠有起死回生、咸鱼翻身的可能。真的会这样吗？这是个政治问题，也是个法律问题。对于这类问题是老杜擅长的领域，今天老杜就从中共内部视角和中国的法律制度角度同各位聊聊张又侠、刘振力为何没有在本次全国人大会议上被免职？ 对于张又侠、刘振力案为什么没有列入本届全国人大议程，是不是赵乐际保下了张又侠、张又侠真有可能咸鱼翻身呢？我的判断很明确：不是。 这不是张又侠安全了，更不是人大要替他翻案，而是中共处理这种级别人物，根本不会在两会这种大场面上把最敏感的一刀当众砍下去。中共最怕什么？最怕权力斗争从密室里溢出来，变成全国代表、政协委员、军队系统、外媒记者同时围观的公开政治事故。尤其张又侠不是普通上将，他是现任中央政治局委员、中央军委副主席，而且是十四届全国人大一次会议上由大会根据中央军委主席提名决定任命的国家军委副主席，这种级别的人出事，处理方式就不可能像处理一般部级官员那样简单粗暴。 The Fourth Session of the 14th National People’s Congress closed yesterday in Beijing. During the session, there was no vote to remove Zhang Youxia, Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission who has already been officially announced as under investigation, and Liu Zhenli, member of the Central Military Commission and Chief of the Joint Staff Department, from their positions as deputies to the National People’s Congress and from their posts as state and Party leaders. Nor were any new successors appointed. The investigation is currently ongoing. According to Article 74 of the Constitution: Deputies to the National People’s Congress may not be arrested or placed on criminal trial without the permission of the Presidium of the National People’s Congress during the period when the Congress is in session; when the Congress is not in session, such permission must be obtained from the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress. The core meaning of this provision is: when the NPC is in session, approval must come from the Presidium; when the NPC is not in session, approval must come from the NPC Standing Committee. Otherwise, deputies to the NPC cannot be subjected to arrest or criminal trial. This means that Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli have not yet been arrested and have not yet been sent to prison. They are currently under a form of house detention. Many friends have said that this is somewhat unexpected. Some more optimistic observers even believe that the National People’s Congress under Zhao Leji is protecting Zhang Youxia, and that Zhang Youxia may have a chance to revive from the dead and make a comeback. Will it really be so? This is both a political question and a legal question. Issues of this kind fall precisely within Old Du’s area of expertise. Today Old Du will discuss with everyone, from the perspective of the internal workings of the Chinese Communist Party and from the standpoint of China’s legal system, why Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli were not removed from office at this session of the National People’s Congress. Why were the cases of Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli not placed on the agenda of this session of the National People’s Congress? Was Zhang Youxia protected by Zhao Leji? Does Zhang Youxia really have the possibility of making a comeback? My judgment is very clear: no. This does not mean Zhang Youxia is safe, nor does it mean the National People’s Congress intends to overturn his case. Rather, when the Chinese Communist Party handles figures of this level, it simply will not carry out the most sensitive strike in front of everyone at a grand public event like the Two Sessions. What does the CCP fear most? What it fears most is that power struggles spill out of the closed room and turn into a public political incident watched simultaneously by national deputies, CPPCC members, the military system, and foreign media reporters. In particular, Zhang Youxia is not an ordinary general. He is a current member of the Politburo and Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission, and he was appointed State Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission at the First Session of the 14th National People’s Congress based on the nomination of the Chairman of the Central Military Commission. When someone of this rank runs into trouble, the method of handling it cannot possibly be as simple and crude as dealing with an ordinary ministerial-level official.