Bayes: How one equation changed the way I think

Julia Galef June 4, 2013
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Julia Galef

@measureofdoubt

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Insights from and explanations of philosophy, rationality, science and more. By Julia Galef (http://juliagalef.com). For more content, check out my podcast, Rationally Speaking (http://rationallyspeakingpodcast.org). Every two weeks I feature a discussion with someone in science, philosophy, math, etc. -- such as Peter Singer, Lawrence Krauss, Neil deGrasse Tyson, Robin Hanson, and more. Full transcripts available for recent episodes.

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Bayes' Rule is a simple formula that tells you how to weigh evidence and change your beliefs. I don't go around plugging numbers into a formula all the time, but nevertheless, becoming familiar with Bayes has shifted the way I think in some important ways. (Learn more about me at http://juliagalef.com)

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