Conversation Changers: Navigating the New Phase of the Iran Conflict with Aaron David Miller

Salzburg Global March 31, 2026
Video Thumbnail

About

No channel description available.

Latest Posts

No results found. Try different keywords.

Video Description

Is the war in Iran truly shifting from the battlefield to the negotiating table, or are we witnessing a sophisticated diplomatic ruse? In this episode of Conversation Changers, our co-hosts Eric Olander and Martin Weiss (President and CEO of Salzburg Global) are joined by a true heavyweight of international diplomacy, Aaron David Miller. Aaron is a veteran US State Department advisor who spent 24 years at the department and served six Secretaries of State as an advisor on Arab-Israeli negotiations. He is also a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington. As whispers of settlement proposals emerge from intermediaries in Pakistan and Egypt, Aaron, Eric and Martin provide a sobering reality check. They explore the deep-seated trust deficit following recent decapitation strikes and the rise of a new, hardened leadership in Tehran. From the prospect of 200-dollar-a-barrel oil to the complex power dynamics between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu, this conversation unpicks the broad contours of a conflict that is reshaping the global order. In this episode, we delve into: The Scepticism of Negotiations: Why the current talk about talks may be more performative than substantive. The Three Pillars of Diplomacy: The essential elements—willing parties, mutual urgency, and an agreed end state—that are currently missing from the conflict. A Leadership in Transition: The impact of the February 28th strikes on the Iranian regime and the emergence of Mojtaba Khamenei. The Pain Threshold and Regime Preservation: How the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) views survival, deterrence, and the cost of war. The Global Economic Fallout: The skyrocketing energy prices affecting everyone from Austrian commuters to Sri Lankan workers. The Trump-Netanyahu Exit Strategy: Whether the US President’s domestic re-election priorities in 2026 will eventually force a conclusion to the hostilities. Chapters: 00:00 Introduction to Conversation Changers 02:30 War or Diplomacy: Where are we on the spectrum? 03:24 The three prerequisites for serious negotiations 08:07 The crisis of trust and decapitation strikes 10:45 Regime preservation and the pain threshold 12:51 The feasibility of ground troops 14:55 Differing calculations: The US vs Israel 16:41 Netanyahu, Trump, and the path to an exit 20:09 Economic fallout: 200-dollar oil and global consequences 22:02 Strategic defeat or victory? Finding a way out About the Guest: Aaron David Miller Aaron David Miller is a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington. Previously, he spent 24 years at the US State Department, where he served six Secretaries of State as an advisor on Arab-Israeli negotiations. He is a frequent commentator on US foreign policy and Middle East affairs. Find out more about Aaron David Miller here: https://carnegieendowment.org/people/aaron-david-miller About the Hosts: Martin Weiss Martin Weiss is the President and Chief Executive Officer of Salzburg Global. Prior to this role, Martin spent more than 30 years in the Austrian diplomatic corps, serving as Austria’s ambassador to the United States, Israel, and Cyprus. During his career, he also served as the Director of the Press and Information Department at the Austrian Embassy in Washington. Find out more about Martin Weiss here: https://www.salzburgglobal.org/person/martin-weiss About the Hosts: Eric Olander Eric Olander is a veteran journalist and media executive with over 30 years of experience reporting for world-leading organisations including CNN, France 24, and the BBC World Service. He is a Salzburg Global Fellow and the Co-Founder and Editor-in-Chief of The China-Global South Project, an independent media initiative exploring global engagement with the developing world. Follow Eric on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/olander/ Find out more about Salzburg Global here: https://www.salzburgglobal.org

You May Also Like

Upgrade Your Everyday

AI-recommended products based on this video

Loading...
Kasa Smart Outdoor Smart Plug by TP-Link (KP400) - Smart WiFi Outlet with 2 Sockets, IP64 Waterproof, Works with Alexa and Google Home, 2.4GHz WiFi Required, No Hub Required, Sunset & Sunrise Offset

Kasa Smart Outdoor Smart Plug by TP-Link (KP400) - Smart WiFi Outlet with 2 Sockets, IP64 Waterproof, Works with Alexa and Google Home, 2.4GHz WiFi Required, No Hub Required, Sunset & Sunrise Offset

(28,846)
$21.99$17.99
FREE delivery Wed, Aug 20 on your first order
1K+ bought in past month
Loading...
Wireless Earbuds, Bluetooth 5.4 Headphones in Ear with 4 ENC Noise Cancelling Mic, in Ear Earphones 40H, IP7 Waterproof, Bluetooth Ear Buds for Sports, Gym, Workout, USB C, White

Wireless Earbuds, Bluetooth 5.4 Headphones in Ear with 4 ENC Noise Cancelling Mic, in Ear Earphones 40H, IP7 Waterproof, Bluetooth Ear Buds for Sports, Gym, Workout, USB C, White

(403)
$29.98
FREE delivery Mon, May 4 on your first order
500+ bought in past month
Loading...
Wireless Earbuds, Bluetooth 5.4 Headphones in Ear with 4 ENC Noise Cancelling Mic, in Ear Earphones 40H, IP7 Waterproof, USB C, Bluetooth Ear Buds for Sports, Gym, Workout, Rose Pink

Wireless Earbuds, Bluetooth 5.4 Headphones in Ear with 4 ENC Noise Cancelling Mic, in Ear Earphones 40H, IP7 Waterproof, USB C, Bluetooth Ear Buds for Sports, Gym, Workout, Rose Pink

(403)
$29.98
FREE delivery Mon, May 4 on your first order
1K+ bought in past month
Loading...
Wireless Earbuds, Bluetooth 5.4 Headphones in Ear with 4 ENC Noise Cancelling Mic, in Ear Earphones 40H, IP7 Waterproof, USB C, Bluetooth Ear Buds for Sports, Gym, Workout, Black

Wireless Earbuds, Bluetooth 5.4 Headphones in Ear with 4 ENC Noise Cancelling Mic, in Ear Earphones 40H, IP7 Waterproof, USB C, Bluetooth Ear Buds for Sports, Gym, Workout, Black

(380)
$29.98
FREE delivery Wed, May 6 on your first order
3K+ bought in past month
Loading...
Fvyao Sleep Earbuds, Mini Wireless Earbuds in Ear, Sleep Headphones Design for Side Sleeper, 24H Bass Stereo, Bluetooth 5.4, with ENC Noise Cancelling, IPX6 Waterproof Ear Buds for Android iOS

Fvyao Sleep Earbuds, Mini Wireless Earbuds in Ear, Sleep Headphones Design for Side Sleeper, 24H Bass Stereo, Bluetooth 5.4, with ENC Noise Cancelling, IPX6 Waterproof Ear Buds for Android iOS

(2)
$31.99
FREE delivery Thu, Apr 23 on your first order
Loading...
Brita Stainless Steel Premium Filtering Water Bottle, BPA-Free, Reusable, Insulated, Replaces 300 Plastic Water Bottles, Filter Lasts 2 Months or 40 Gallons, Includes 1 Filter, Carbon - 20 oz.

Brita Stainless Steel Premium Filtering Water Bottle, BPA-Free, Reusable, Insulated, Replaces 300 Plastic Water Bottles, Filter Lasts 2 Months or 40 Gallons, Includes 1 Filter, Carbon - 20 oz.

(2,652)
$81.37$76.36
FREE delivery Sep 29 - Oct 2
Loading...
Simple Modern Filtered Water Bottle | Insulated Stainless-Steel Carbon Filter Travel Water Bottles | Reusable for Clean Drinking Water On The Go | 24oz, Sea Glass Sage

Simple Modern Filtered Water Bottle | Insulated Stainless-Steel Carbon Filter Travel Water Bottles | Reusable for Clean Drinking Water On The Go | 24oz, Sea Glass Sage

(26)
$30.13
FREE delivery Tue, Sep 23 on your first order
Loading...
Motivaris Fitness Tracker Health Watch, 1.47" Step Counter with 24/7 Heart Rate Blood Oxygen Sleep Monitor, 3ATM Waterproof Smart Watch for Women Men, Pedometer Black

Motivaris Fitness Tracker Health Watch, 1.47" Step Counter with 24/7 Heart Rate Blood Oxygen Sleep Monitor, 3ATM Waterproof Smart Watch for Women Men, Pedometer Black

(51)
$49.99
FREE delivery Sat, Apr 25
Loading...
FITVII Health & Fitness Tracker (Answer/Make Calls), Smart Watch with 24/7 Heart Rate and Blood Pressure, Sleep Tracking Monitor, 120+ Sport Mode Activity Tracker

FITVII Health & Fitness Tracker (Answer/Make Calls), Smart Watch with 24/7 Heart Rate and Blood Pressure, Sleep Tracking Monitor, 120+ Sport Mode Activity Tracker

(198)
$59.99
FREE delivery Sun, Aug 10
100+ bought in past month
Loading...
AYATAHA AYATAHA Smart Watch for Kids, Smartwatch Fitness Tracker for Boys Girls, Children's Activity Watch 37 Sports Modes SMS Notification, HD Full Touchscreen IP67 Waterproof, Blue

AYATAHA AYATAHA Smart Watch for Kids, Smartwatch Fitness Tracker for Boys Girls, Children's Activity Watch 37 Sports Modes SMS Notification, HD Full Touchscreen IP67 Waterproof, Blue

(55)
$41.99
PrimeFREE delivery Sat, Jun 14
Loading...
Iaret Iaret Smart Watch for Women, 1.83" HD Fitness Tracker with 4 Bands, Answer/Make Calls, Heart Rate/Sleep/SpO2/Step Tracking, 100+ Sport Modes, Android/iPhone Compatible Gift (Rose Gold)

Iaret Iaret Smart Watch for Women, 1.83" HD Fitness Tracker with 4 Bands, Answer/Make Calls, Heart Rate/Sleep/SpO2/Step Tracking, 100+ Sport Modes, Android/iPhone Compatible Gift (Rose Gold)

(42)
$59.99
FREE delivery Thu, Jun 19
100+ bought in past month
Loading...
Hand Warmers 2 Pack, 14000mAh Rechargeable Hand Warmers, Electric Hand Warmer Reusable, Portable Power Bank USB Hand Warmers 4 Levels 8 Heating, Gifts for Raynauds Ski Golf Camping

Hand Warmers 2 Pack, 14000mAh Rechargeable Hand Warmers, Electric Hand Warmer Reusable, Portable Power Bank USB Hand Warmers 4 Levels 8 Heating, Gifts for Raynauds Ski Golf Camping

(683)
$74.08$59.47
FREE delivery Jun 13 - 18
Loading...
Hand Warmers Rechargeable, 10000mAh Electric Heated Gloves Power Bank Portable Graphene Handwarmers Pouch with 3 Levels & Double-Sided Heating for Hunting Camping Golf Xmas Gifts for Women Men Kids

Hand Warmers Rechargeable, 10000mAh Electric Heated Gloves Power Bank Portable Graphene Handwarmers Pouch with 3 Levels & Double-Sided Heating for Hunting Camping Golf Xmas Gifts for Women Men Kids

(651)
$44.99
PrimeFREE delivery Sun, Jun 15
Loading...
2Pack Rechargeable Hand Warmer, 8000mAh Electric Hand Warmer Power Bank, Portable USB-C Hand Warmer for Pocket, Reusable Hand Warmer Up to 8 hrs Each, Warm Gift for Men Women, for Hunting, Camping
Amazon's Choice

2Pack Rechargeable Hand Warmer, 8000mAh Electric Hand Warmer Power Bank, Portable USB-C Hand Warmer for Pocket, Reusable Hand Warmer Up to 8 hrs Each, Warm Gift for Men Women, for Hunting, Camping

(1,128)
$15.99
FREE delivery Sat, Jun 14 on your first order
Loading...
GTOCE Portable Charger,40000mAh Power Bank with 22.5W Fast Charging LED Digital Display Battery Pack with 6 Outputs 2 Inputs, Type C Powerbank Portable Charger for iPhone 16 pro Samsung AirPods,Black

GTOCE Portable Charger,40000mAh Power Bank with 22.5W Fast Charging LED Digital Display Battery Pack with 6 Outputs 2 Inputs, Type C Powerbank Portable Charger for iPhone 16 pro Samsung AirPods,Black

(334)
$42.99
FREE delivery Thu, Oct 16
1K+ bought in past month
Loading...
Monster Sleep Ear200, Wireless in-Ear Headphones, Bluetooth 6.0 Sleep Headphones, with ANC Active Noise Cancellation Designed for Side Sleepers, 30 Hours of bass Stereo Sound.

Monster Sleep Ear200, Wireless in-Ear Headphones, Bluetooth 6.0 Sleep Headphones, with ANC Active Noise Cancellation Designed for Side Sleepers, 30 Hours of bass Stereo Sound.

(10)
$39.99
FREE delivery Tue, Mar 24
Loading...
Fvyao Sleep Earbuds, Mini Wireless Earbuds in Ear, Sleep Headphones Design for Side Sleeper, 24H Bass Stereo, Bluetooth 5.4, with ENC Noise Cancelling, IPX6 Waterproof Ear Buds for Android iOS

Fvyao Sleep Earbuds, Mini Wireless Earbuds in Ear, Sleep Headphones Design for Side Sleeper, 24H Bass Stereo, Bluetooth 5.4, with ENC Noise Cancelling, IPX6 Waterproof Ear Buds for Android iOS

(2)
$31.99
FREE delivery Thu, Apr 23 on your first order
Loading...
Monster Sleep Ear100 Ear Buds, Sleep Earbuds with Stereo Sound, Design for Side Sleeper, 32H Playtime, Bluetooth 6.0, ENC Noise Cancelling, IPX6 Waterproof Mini Headphones, White

Monster Sleep Ear100 Ear Buds, Sleep Earbuds with Stereo Sound, Design for Side Sleeper, 32H Playtime, Bluetooth 6.0, ENC Noise Cancelling, IPX6 Waterproof Mini Headphones, White

(4)
$39.99
FREE delivery Mon, Mar 2
Loading...
Monster Sleep Ear100 Ear Buds, Sleep Earbuds with Stereo Sound, Design for Side Sleeper, 32H Playtime, Bluetooth 6.0, ENC Noise Cancelling, IPX6 Waterproof Mini Headphones, Black

Monster Sleep Ear100 Ear Buds, Sleep Earbuds with Stereo Sound, Design for Side Sleeper, 32H Playtime, Bluetooth 6.0, ENC Noise Cancelling, IPX6 Waterproof Mini Headphones, Black

(15)
$39.99
FREE delivery Mon, Feb 23
Loading...
Hydroponics Growing System Indoor Garden - Herb Garden with Grow Light, 15 Pods Stainless Steel Indoor Garden Kit, Auto Timer, Gardening Gift for All Ages

Hydroponics Growing System Indoor Garden - Herb Garden with Grow Light, 15 Pods Stainless Steel Indoor Garden Kit, Auto Timer, Gardening Gift for All Ages

(24)
$206.57$200.61
FREE delivery Jun 13 - 17
Loading...
Umbra Triflora Hanging Planter for Window, Indoor Herb Garden, Set of 5, White/Black

Umbra Triflora Hanging Planter for Window, Indoor Herb Garden, Set of 5, White/Black

(7,808)
$71.52
PrimeFREE delivery Sat, Jun 14
Loading...
Large Hydroponics Growing System 14 Pods, Indoor Herb Garden with LED Grow Light, 5L Water Tank, Hydroponic Grow Kit with 3 Auto-Timers, Rotatable Light Panel and Child Lock for Home School Gardening

Large Hydroponics Growing System 14 Pods, Indoor Herb Garden with LED Grow Light, 5L Water Tank, Hydroponic Grow Kit with 3 Auto-Timers, Rotatable Light Panel and Child Lock for Home School Gardening

(119)
$167.81
FREE delivery Jun 16 - 20
Loading...
Hanging Planter Hanging Plant Holder, 6 Inch 4 Indoor Plant Pots, Wall/Window Plant Hanger Indoor Herb Garden

Hanging Planter Hanging Plant Holder, 6 Inch 4 Indoor Plant Pots, Wall/Window Plant Hanger Indoor Herb Garden

(269)
$35.99$28.90
PrimeFREE delivery Sat, Jun 14
Loading...
slopehill Multi Hair Stylers & Hair Straightener - 2 in 1 Wet to Dry Air Straightener and Hair Dryer Combo with High Speed Air + Rapid Heat-Up + Customizable Temperature(Pink)

slopehill Multi Hair Stylers & Hair Straightener - 2 in 1 Wet to Dry Air Straightener and Hair Dryer Combo with High Speed Air + Rapid Heat-Up + Customizable Temperature(Pink)

(177)
$139.99
Prime
Loading...
Hi.FANCY Portable Laptop Stand with Dual Cooling Fans for 14-17inch Laptops, Grey, 23.5 x 25.9 x 0.95cm

Hi.FANCY Portable Laptop Stand with Dual Cooling Fans for 14-17inch Laptops, Grey, 23.5 x 25.9 x 0.95cm

(0)
$36.99
FREE delivery Aug 18 - 28
Loading...
Laptop Stand for Desk, Adjustable Laptop Riser ABS+Silicone Foldable Portable Laptop Holder, Ventilated Cooling Notebook Stand for 10-15.6” Laptops,Tablet-Black

Laptop Stand for Desk, Adjustable Laptop Riser ABS+Silicone Foldable Portable Laptop Holder, Ventilated Cooling Notebook Stand for 10-15.6” Laptops,Tablet-Black

(11,679)
$14.99
FREE delivery Sat, Jun 14 on your first order
500+ bought in past month
Loading...
JETech 5 in 1 Case for Samsung Galaxy S25 Ultra 5G with 2-Pack Each Tempered Glass Screen Protector and Camera Lens Protector, Non-Yellowing Shockproof Bumper Phone Cover (Clear)

JETech 5 in 1 Case for Samsung Galaxy S25 Ultra 5G with 2-Pack Each Tempered Glass Screen Protector and Camera Lens Protector, Non-Yellowing Shockproof Bumper Phone Cover (Clear)

(197)
$15.99
FREE delivery Sat, Jun 14 on your first order
100+ bought in past month
Loading...
TAURI for iPhone 17 Pro Max Case 6.9" with 1-Pack Screen Protector, Camera Lens Full Protection, Military-Grade Protection, Shockproof Transparent Back Bumper Phone Cover - Clear Global Recycled Standard

TAURI for iPhone 17 Pro Max Case 6.9" with 1-Pack Screen Protector, Camera Lens Full Protection, Military-Grade Protection, Shockproof Transparent Back Bumper Phone Cover - Clear Global Recycled Standard

(0)
$10.76
FREE delivery Thu, Oct 16 on your first order
2K+ bought in past month
Loading...
TAURI for iPhone 17 Pro Case 6.3" with 1-Pack Screen Protector, Camera Lens Full Protection, Military-Grade Protection, Shockproof Transparent Back Bumper Phone Cover - Clear Global Recycled Standard
Best Seller

TAURI for iPhone 17 Pro Case 6.3" with 1-Pack Screen Protector, Camera Lens Full Protection, Military-Grade Protection, Shockproof Transparent Back Bumper Phone Cover - Clear Global Recycled Standard

(61,696)
$10.76
Prime
2K+ bought in past month
Loading...
JOINPAYA 1Set Rechargeable Hand Warmer Hand Heater for Winter Heating Levels Compact

JOINPAYA 1Set Rechargeable Hand Warmer Hand Heater for Winter Heating Levels Compact

(0)
$9.29
FREE delivery Jun 20 - Jul 4
Loading...
Shakven Rechargeable Hand Warmer | Cute Comfortable Portable Hand Warmers,Ergonomic Adjustable Energy-Efficient Small Heater for Travel, Outdoor, Winter

Shakven Rechargeable Hand Warmer | Cute Comfortable Portable Hand Warmers,Ergonomic Adjustable Energy-Efficient Small Heater for Travel, Outdoor, Winter

(0)
$26.93
FREE delivery Jun 19 - Jul 2
Loading...
OCOOPA IP45 Waterproof Hand Warmer Rechargeable, Up to 15hrs Heat,10000mAh Durable Quick Charge Electric Hand Heater, PD Compatible, 3 Levels for Outdoors, Heavy Duty, H01-PD PRO

OCOOPA IP45 Waterproof Hand Warmer Rechargeable, Up to 15hrs Heat,10000mAh Durable Quick Charge Electric Hand Heater, PD Compatible, 3 Levels for Outdoors, Heavy Duty, H01-PD PRO

(50)
$39.99
PrimeFREE delivery Sat, Jun 14
Loading...
OCOOPA IP45 Waterproof Hand Warmer Rechargeable, Up to 15hrs Heat,10000mAh Durable Quick Charge Electric Hand Heater, PD Compatible, 3 Levels for Outdoors, Heavy Duty, H01-PD PRO

OCOOPA IP45 Waterproof Hand Warmer Rechargeable, Up to 15hrs Heat,10000mAh Durable Quick Charge Electric Hand Heater, PD Compatible, 3 Levels for Outdoors, Heavy Duty, H01-PD PRO

(649)
$39.99
PrimeFREE delivery Sat, Jun 14