Golden Dome & U.S. Missile Defence - What is it, Can it Work, and the Economics of Missile Defence

Perun May 25, 2025
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Perun

@perunau

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An Australian covering the military industrial complex and national military investment strategy. Since the outbreak of the conflict in Ukraine, I've been covering lessons from the conflict and how they may inform the future investment decisions that other nations may or should make. Gaming is a hobby of mine and that content is now at the channel PerunGamingAU (https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCPYJiiMoA0yOMHI-aiB44RQ). It should go without saying that all views expressed by me in any of this content are simply personal opinion and nothing I say at any point should be taken as financial advice.. If you'd like to support me and have extra input into the content I create, you can find me on Patreon at: https://www.patreon.com/PerunAU Business contact email for sponsor requests: [email protected] general contact email for the channel: [email protected] Submission email for data relating to the ongoing Ukraine-Russia war: [email protected]

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Sponsored by: Private Internet Access: https://www.piavpn.com/Perun In the 1980s, the U.S. announced an ambition to build a space-based missile shield that could intercept Soviet ICBMS and make nuclear weapons functionally 'obsolete.' It never happened. The technology wasn't there, the costs would have been astronomical and there was always a risk of the Soviets out-scaling the system. After the Cold War ended, U.S. homeland missile defence efforts refocused on rogue and minor actors like North Korea. Now, with the announcement of "Golden Dome', it appears that the U.S. is once again expanding its missile defence ambitions. And so today we look at what's been announced and funded, how it might work, and the brutal economics of complex missile defence. Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PerunAU Reading and Sourcing: Iron Dome for America Executive Order: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/the-iron-dome-for-america/ Related fact sheet: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/01/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-directs-the-building-of-the-iron-dome-missile-defense-shield-for-america/ Secretary Hegseth Statement on Golden Dome https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4193417/secretary-of-defense-pete-hegseth-statement-on-golden-dome-for-america/ My video on Hypersonic weapons as mentioned in video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0n3fjoacL20 Space Force officials say it’s too early to pin down Golden Dome costs https://spacenews.com/space-force-officials-say-its-too-early-to-pin-down-golden-dome-costs/ Lockheed Martin - Golden Dome for America https://www.lockheedmartin.com/en-us/capabilities/missile-defense/golden-dome-missile-defense.html CBO on Cost Estimates for Space Based Interceptors https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2025-05/61237-SBI.pdf Reporting on Golden Dome Option Selection https://apnews.com/article/golden-dome-missile-defense-trump-space-e74d637feac06edcfde79214d8acf179 https://www.politico.com/news/2025/05/20/trump-golden-dome-price-tag-00360876 https://www.defenseone.com/technology/2025/05/trump-golden-dome-cost-175b-be-ready-three-years/405474/ General Guetlein on MTI sats https://www.defensenews.com/space/2024/09/04/space-force-to-field-sensors-for-tracking-air-ground-targets-in-2030s/ CRS - Hypersonic Missile Defence https://www.congress.gov/crs_external_products/IF/PDF/IF11623/IF11623.16.pdf "The Scaled-Down Look of Star Wars' - Article from 1989 https://www.airandspaceforces.com/article/1089starwars/ US Layered Homeland Missile Defence Fact sheet - 2020 https://media.defense.gov/2020/Jun/22/2002319425/-1/-1/1/LAYERED-HOMELAND-MISSILE-DEFENSE-FINAL.PDF RAND - The U.S. China Military Scorecard 2015 https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR392.html National Research Council - Making Sense of Ballistic Missile Defense An Assessment of Concepts and Systems for U.S. Boost-Phase Missile Defense in Comparison to Other Alternatives (2012) https://nap.nationalacademies.org/catalog/13189/making-sense-of-ballistic-missile-defense-an-assessment-of-concepts U.S. Japan agreement on hypersonic defence https://www.defensenews.com/global/asia-pacific/2024/05/15/us-and-japan-sign-agreement-to-co-develop-hypersonic-interceptor/ Reporting on HGPI https://www.defensenews.com/pentagon/2024/09/26/pentagon-makes-early-pick-for-hypersonic-interceptor-developer/ American Physical Society Panel on Public Affairs - Strategic Ballistic Missile Defense CHALLENGES TO DEFENDING THE UNITED STATES https://www.aps.org/publications/reports/strategic-ballistic-missile-defense Reporting on Poseidon https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-produces-first-nuclear-warheads-poseidon-super-torpedo-tass-2023-01-16/ https://news.usni.org/2022/07/08/doomsday-submarine-armed-with-nuclear-torpedoes-delivers-to-russian-navy Caveats & Comments: All normal caveats and comments apply. In particular – I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a complete or comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon to inform financial or other similar decisions. Any content relating to the conduct, views, activities or any aspect of any person or character in this video is included for entertainment purposes and does not represent an assertion of fact on those matters or any matters in relation to that person or character. Care has been taken in compiling data, quotes, and other inputs from various sources but errors can occur. Quotes and included data should be considered illustrative, not definitive and their veracity should not be relied on. Timestamps: 00:00:00 — Opening Words 00:01:58 — What Am I Talking About? 00:04:08 — America's Iron Dome? 00:13:38 — What Do We Know? 00:19:17 — More Ambitious Asks 00:38:12 — High-end Defence 00:39:42 — Missile Defence Math 00:54:05 — Going Back to Boost Phase 01:02:02 — What if It Worked? 01:05:15 — Channel Update