【Jack Talk】伊朗戰爭:特朗普落入「升級陷阱」 全球陪葬「不平等」的惡果?|霍爾木茲海峽|石油|液化天然氣LNG|以色列

香港01 March 20, 2026
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影片章節: 00:00 Intro 01:31 戰爭升級在即 10:38 危機不只在石油 14:22 特朗普的「攬炒」之道 特朗普(Donald Trump)不知緣何開打的伊朗戰爭至今已持續接近三週。美國以色列轟炸伊朗目標已超過1.6萬個。伊朗政府最高層官員也持續被殺,包括原本實際掌握軍政事務大權的最高國家安全委員會秘書拉里賈尼(Ali Larijani)。 問題是,量變並不是質變。伊朗依然能夠對區內目標發動攻擊,因而繼續有效封鎖霍爾木茲海峽,甚至能選擇性讓跟伊朗達成某種共識的國家商船安全駛離波斯灣。同時,無論美以如何轟炸,伊朗政權未見有倒台、失治之危。 短期來看,這場戰爭的勝負關鍵就是誰能控制霍爾木茲海峽。從這個角度來看,處於戰略上風的其實是伊朗,而不是美國和以色列。 特朗普除非願意非常沒有說服力地「宣布勝利」而退兵,否則就只能在戰術上求變。 對於戰略上處於下風、軍力上處於上風的美國而言,求變就是升級戰爭。隨着一支人數兩千的海軍陸戰遠征隊通過馬六甲海峽,特朗普是否已經作出了地面入侵伊朗的「超高風險」決定?戰爭升級對全球經濟的衝擊,特朗普真的能置之不顧嗎? 詳盡全文即撳 → https://www.hk01.com/article/60332420 喜歡這條影片嗎?訂閱我們的 Channel,再給一個 Like 和 Share! 支持《香港01》YouTube頻道,請入成為會員並獲得福利: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCTxyBu9VWUq5LXezXwy_SGg/join 《香港01》App 有更多資訊和優惠,立即下載: https://hk01.app.link/PzA62USyaQ #香港01 #HK01 ============================== HK01.COM 網站: http://bit.ly/2NcheIM 成為01會員,著數多多:http://bit.ly/2tpPdEs ↓↓ Follow Us on ↓↓ Facebook: http://bit.ly/2SH6Xu9 Instagram: http://bit.ly/2rntJXB Twitter: http://bit.ly/2T2aYsr LinkedIn: http://bit.ly/2Ehn0Ga Telegram: http://bit.ly/2IqueK2

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