Tech CTO Has 99.999% P(Doom) — “This is my bugout house” — Louis Berman, AI X-Risk Activist

Video Description

Louis Berman is a polymath who brings unique credibility to AI doom discussions. He's been coding AI for 25 years, served as CTO of major tech companies, recorded the first visual sighting of what became the dwarf planet Eris, and has now pivoted to full-time AI risk activism. He's lobbied over 60 politicians across multiple countries for PauseAI and authored two books on existential risk. 00:00:00 - Cold Open: The Missing Emotional Response 00:00:31 - Introducing Louis Berman: Polymath Background and Donor Disclosure 00:03:40 - The Anodyne Reaction: Why No One Seems Scared 00:07:37 - P-Doom Calibration: Gary Marcus and the 1% Problem 00:11:57 - The Bug Out House: Prepping for Slow Doom 00:13:44 - Being Amazed by LLMs While Fearing ASI 00:18:41 - What’s Your P(Doom)™ 00:25:42 - Bayesian Reasoning vs. Heart of Hearts Beliefs 00:32:10 - Non-Doom Scenarios and International Coordination 00:40:00 - The Missing Mood: Where's the Emotional Response? 00:44:17 - Prepping Philosophy: Buying Weeks, Not Years 00:52:35 - Doom Scenarios: Slow Takeover vs. Instant Death 01:00:43 - Practical Activism: Lobbying Politicians and Concrete Actions 01:16:44 - Where to Find Louis's Books and Final Wrap-up 01:18:14 - Outro: Become a Mission Partner Show notes, links & more: https://lironshapira.substack.com/p/tech-cto-has-99999-pdoom