老徐直播：特朗普會否攻打伊朗？伊朗如何備戰？傳英國不許美國使用英國軍事基地｜徐時論1577
徐時論 TsuisTalk (Since 2009)
•
February 19, 2026
徐時論 TsuisTalk (Since 2009)
@tsuiscritiqueAbout
老徐，做了15年傳媒人，當過記者、編輯、出版人、報館社長，寫過書，2003年開始從商，喜歡評論時政及科技趨勢。 《徐時論》，徐徐而論，也是隨時而論，也是老徐的時論。時論者，評說當下發生的事，除了政治，也有社會、商業、科技和人生。歡迎訂閱。 我的Facebook Live頻道：https://www.facebook.com/TsuisChannel 請每月用US$3(HK$23.4，全年HK$280)訂閱我的Patreon Page，多謝支持！所有時評短片均附設聲音檔及文字檔，只供會員收聽及閱讀。 My Patreon page：https://patreon.com/TsuisTalk
Video Description
本集《徐時論》深入解析美伊緊張局勢升溫背後的戰略邏輯。從美軍航母與戰機集結、伊朗核設施地下化工程，到英國拒絕批准基地使用所形成的盟友約束，本節目系統性拆解美國是否可能對伊朗動武的多層次因素。 透過結構、國家利益與領導人風格三層分析框架，節目進一步探討為何全面戰爭機率有限，而有限打擊卻具有戰略吸引力。 同時，本集也延伸討論美國政治制度如何在歷史上塑造「容易開始、難以擴大」的有限戰爭模式。 如果你希望理解當前中東危機的深層動力與未來走向，本集提供完整且系統性的觀察視角。 #美國伊朗 #中東局勢 #地緣政治 #國際關係 #軍事分析 #Trump #Iran #USIran #航母部署 #國際新聞 #戰略分析 #有限戰爭 #全球安全 #地緣戰略 #政治分析 #徐時論 #老徐 Want to create live streams like this? Check out StreamYard: https://streamyard.com/pal/d/5522474492231680
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