【財經自由講】2025「完美風暴」 財赤、債務、脫鉤、制裁、衰退 中國、香港成「命運共同體」

RFA 自由亞洲粵語 January 19, 2025
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自由亞洲電台(Radio Free Asia) 總部設在美國華盛頓,為言論自由受限的亞洲國家和地區提供完整而免費的新聞報道。致力以多媒體形式發送新聞,成為一個讓大眾獲得可靠消息的平台。

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踏入2025年,全球經濟迎來新格局,特朗普即將在1月20日就職,對全球局勢發展、地緣政治的影響拭目以待;俄烏戰爭即將迎來第三年,美財政部官員上月會見香港金管局及多家銀行警告勿與俄交易;中國去年救市無力,習近平表示,中國2024年的國內生產總值增長5%左右。他亦在元旦發文,指要堅持全方位「鬥爭」。 上集《財經自由講》總結2024年經濟困局部分落於需求不足,而在2025年,香港如何在逆境中安穩求存,似乎成為今年重要的課題。 2025年,相信在全球化減弱、金融風險加劇的背景下,全球不同國家或城市經濟競爭力與未來發展受到多重挑戰。今集《財經自由講》為你深入剖析這些宏觀與微觀經濟現象,並提供觀察與應對建議。 主持:利世民、顏寶剛 (評論純屬主持個人觀點,並不代表本台立場。) #特朗普回歸 #金融安全 #地方債 #經濟骨牌效應 #香港樓市危機 #融資成本 #港元穩定性 #人民幣貶值 #全球貿易壁壘 01:36 2025年香港財經展望:關注金融安全 01:54 特朗普當選美國總統 貿易壁壘主義抬頭 02:42 北京關注香港金融安全作首要任務 05:03 金融危機可能由小型違約事件引發骨牌效應 06:16 美財政部官員警告銀行不要參與俄羅斯違規交易 07:43 香港銀行在中美規範差異下的運營面臨挑戰 08:57 香港內部結構脆弱 融資成本增加和效率問題 13:36 香港家庭債務佔 GDP 比重近九成 主要來自樓按 14:04 香港企業負債水平相對較高 或為金融風險來源 14:49 部分香港地產商面臨債務問題 部分要延長還款期限 15:54 銀行可能因抵押品價值下降而進行Call loan 20:15 政府處理危機應變能力削弱成潛在風險 24:08 評級機構對香港財務狀況的信心減低 25:11 今年企業裁員 減薪規模可能加大 27:35 「執笠結業」潮持續 去年多個本地品牌消失 29:14 人民幣持續貶值 兌港元有機會變成一算水平 30:14 人民幣在港廣泛應用 變相令港元邊緣化 34:50 去年樓價由高位回落近28% 38:31 大力投資北部都會區恐令樓市供過於求惡化 -------------------------------------------------- 自由亞洲電台(Radio Free Asia)總部設在美國華盛頓,為言論自由受限的亞洲國家和地區提供完整而免費的新聞報道。致力以多媒體形式發送新聞,成為一個讓大眾獲得可靠消息的平台。 -------------------------------------------------- 【官網】https://www.rfa.org/cantonese 【Threads】https://www.threads.net/@rfacantonese 【Telegram】https://t.me/rfacantonese_news 【Instagram】https://www.instagram.com/rfacantonese 【YouTube】youtube.com/@rfacantonese 【Facebook】https://www.facebook.com/cantonese.rfa 【X】https://x.com/rfacantonese

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