越南簽約8天就撤資?中美同時出手,670億豪賭背後藏著什麼陷阱#越南高鐵 #芒格智慧 #投資教訓 #中美博弈 #地緣政治風險 #兩頭通吃 #670億美元 #2026預測 #長期主義 #避免愚蠢

商業本質論 December 27, 2025
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商業本質論

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理論結合實戰。本頻道深入覆盤伯克希爾·哈撒韋歷史上最成功的投資決策。為什麼蒙格願意為喜詩糖果支付溢價?為什麼他看好比亞迪?透過這些經典商業案例,我們學習如何評估企業的定價權與成長性。 📚 資料來源: 📖 《Poor Charlie's Almanack》 👉 [書籍連結] ⚠️ 免責聲明: 不構成買賣建議,AI語音生成。 #查理芒格 #查理蒙格 #個股分析 #美股實戰 #喜詩糖果 #投資案例 #商業策略 #企業分析 #價值投資法 #選股邏輯

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📊 【670億美元8天蒸發!越南給全世界上的昂貴一課】 一個國家如何在8天內,把670億美元的高鐵夢想變成國際笑話? 越南的答案是:同時得罪中國和美國,在南海造島的同時向中國要技術,對美國洗產地的同時要求零關稅。 這不是新聞分析,這是一堂價值670億美元的投資實戰課。 在這部影片中,我們用查理·芒格畢生的投資哲學,解剖一個國家如何因為「聰明反被聰明誤」而走向崩潰: 🎯 兩頭通吃的幻覺:為什麼小聰明永遠敵不過大智慧? 🎯 技術轉讓的陷阱:德國西門子簽約為何8天後撤資? 🎯 南海豪賭的代價:14個島礁擴建背後的致命誤判 🎯 關稅翻倍的真相:從11%到20%,特朗普為何突然變臉? 🎯 2026年三大預測:越南會在哪條路上崩盤? 這不只是越南的故事,更是每個投資者必須警惕的5個致命錯誤: ❌ 把運氣當能力 ❌ 追逐短期套利 ❌ 透支未來信任 ❌ 高估自己籌碼 ❌ 不懂長期主義 如果你的投資組合裡有東南亞資產,如果你正在追逐熱點,如果你以為可以兩邊下注規避風險,這部影片會讓你重新思考一切。 芒格說過:「我成功不是因為聰明,而是因為避免了愚蠢。」 越南正在用670億美元證明這句話的分量。 💬 關鍵提問: 1. 你的投資組合裡,有多少是「運氣」而非「能力」? 2. 2026年3月,你敢跟我打賭越南會怎麼選嗎? 3. 評論區說說:你見過最慘的「兩頭通吃」失敗案例 #越南高鐵 #芒格智慧 #投資教訓 #中美博弈 #地緣政治風險 #兩頭通吃 #670億美元 #2026預測 #長期主義 #避免愚蠢 #供應鏈危機 #東南亞投資 #資產配置 #投資陷阱 ⚠️ 內容聲明 本影片基於公開新聞報導及查理·芒格的投資哲學進行深度分析,採用第一人稱敘事以更好呈現芒格式思維方式。所有預測僅為基於歷史規律的推演,不構成任何投資建議。 本影片涉及越南高鐵項目、中美關係、南海局勢等敏感議題,內容為客觀分析,不代表任何政治立場。投資決策請基於自身判斷,風險自負。 🔹 頻道說明 本頻道致力於用芒格的多元思維模型解讀全球經濟與地緣政治事件,由芒格哲學的學習者創建,與任何官方機構無關。影片中的語音由AI技術生成,用於教育與知識分享目的。所有內容符合YouTube內容政策與標註要求。

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