A visual guide to Bayesian thinking
Julia Galef
@measureofdoubtAbout
Insights from and explanations of philosophy, rationality, science and more. By Julia Galef (http://juliagalef.com). For more content, check out my podcast, Rationally Speaking (http://rationallyspeakingpodcast.org). Every two weeks I feature a discussion with someone in science, philosophy, math, etc. -- such as Peter Singer, Lawrence Krauss, Neil deGrasse Tyson, Robin Hanson, and more. Full transcripts available for recent episodes.
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Video Description
I use pictures to illustrate the mechanics of "Bayes' rule," a mathematical theorem about how to update your beliefs as you encounter new evidence. Then I tell three stories from my life that show how I use Bayes' rule to improve my thinking.
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