The $10 Trillion AI Revolution: Why It’s Bigger Than the Industrial Revolution

Sequoia Capital August 28, 2025
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The cognitive revolution is here—and it's moving faster than the Industrial Revolution. In this presentation, Sequoia Capital's Konstantine Buhler shares an investment thesis on artificial intelligence and why we believe this transformation represents a $10 trillion opportunity. WHAT YOU'LL LEARN: 🏭 Why AI is like the Industrial Revolution, but compressed from 144 years to just a few 💰 The $10 trillion US services market that's only 0.2% automated by AI ⚖️ How work is shifting from "100% certainty" to "1000x leverage" ⚡ Why "FLOPs per knowledge worker" is the new production function 📊 How to think about market sizing in the AI era 🔧 The technical challenges that represent massive opportunities 🏆 Why academic AI benchmarks are dead (and what matters instead) 📈 The 5 investment trends happening right now 🎲 The 5 investment themes we're betting on next 00:00 - Introduction: The Cognitive Revolution 01:34 - Why AI = Industrial Revolution 2.0 02:39 - The $10 Trillion Services Opportunity 05:13 - Investment Trend #1: Leverage Over Uncertainty 06:38 - Investment Trend #2: Real-World Validation 07:31 - Investment Trend #3: Reinforcement Learning 07:56 - Investment Trend #4: AI in the Physical World 08:23 - Investment Trend #5: Compute as Production Function 9:15 - Investment Theme #1: Persistent Memory 10:10 - Investment Theme #2: Communication Protocols 11:09 - Investment Theme #3: AI Voice 12:23 - Investment Theme #4: AI Security 13:44 - Investment Theme #5: Open Source AI 14:31 - Conclusion: Compressing the Timeline

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