Trend-Following: Theory, Expectations and Reality, Special Presentation | Arthur Hill, CMT (11.6.21)
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Trend-following is a systematic and rules-based strategy for trading in the direction of the underlying trend. Trend-following strategies originated in the commodity markets and benefited from broad diversification. These strategies can also be applied to stocks, however, some adjustments are needed to improve robustness and limit draw-downs. This special edition of Next Level Charting will cover the theory behind trend-following, back-test some classic indicators, set realistic expectations and show some techniques to improve performance when focused on stocks. 00:00 - Introduction 02:00 - A Little About Me 04:16 - My Trading Style: Systematic and Discretionary 06:02 - Agenda of Presentation 07:07 - Key Assumptions and Characteristics 09:14 - Trend Following vs. Mean Reversion 11:36 - Time Frame Considerations 13:45 - Trend Following Indicators and Signals (MA Crossovers, Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels) 24:49 - Expectations vs. Reality (Equity curve based on a system over 20-year period) 27:15 - Back-testing the Indicators 36:25 - Broad Market Timing: Market Regime Matters 44:25 - Expectations vs. Reality: Keeping it Real 47:04 - Key Takeaways and Next Steps 54:04 - Questions: Do you prefer exponential or simple moving averages? CONNECT WITH ARTHUR Website: https://trendinvestorpro.com/ Blog: https://stockcharts.com/articles/arthurhill/ https://twitter.com/arthurhill ––––– Enjoy this video? Subscribe to StockCharts on YouTube to watch more great content from top financial experts, with new content posted daily: https://tinyurl.com/wvet7qj See what better financial charting can do for you! Start your FREE 1-month trial today at https://stockcharts.com FOLLOW US Twitter: @StockCharts : https://tinyurl.com/tt7429e @StockChartsTV : https://twitter.com/stockchartstv Facebook: https://tinyurl.com/w2fsb42 LinkedIn https://tinyurl.com/t7u9568 ABOUT STOCKCHARTS StockCharts.com is the web's leading technical analysis and financial charting platform. Trusted by millions of online investors around the world, the company has been an industry leader in the financial technology space for more than two decades. With innovative, award-winning charting and analysis tools, our mission is to help you better analyze the markets, monitor and manage your portfolios, find promising new stocks and funds to buy, and ultimately make smarter investment decisions. ABOUT STOCKCHARTS TV StockCharts TV is the only 24/7 video streaming channel devoted exclusively to financial charting and market analysis from the web's top technical experts. With a constant stream of technical charting-focused content, both live shows and pre-recorded video, there's always something insightful, educational and entertaining to watch on the channel. Tune in LIVE at https://stockcharts.com/tv DISCLAIMER Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither the Show Participants nor StockCharts.com guarantee any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment discussed on the show. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this show may not be suitable for you and you should make your own independent decision regarding them. This material does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for you. You should strongly consider seeking advice from your own investment advisor
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